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Live Market Dashboard

Beef (R3 Steer)
National Average
€4.85/kg
2.3% monthly View Analysis →
Feed Barley
Spot Price
€0.28/kg
1.1% monthly View Analysis →
Hemp Fiber
Contract Price
€1.42/kg
8.7% quarterly View Contracts →
Milk
Average Co-op
€0.49/L
Calf (Friesian)
Mart Average
€110
-1.2% monthly View Analysis →
Fertiliser
Input Cost
€295/t
+0.6% monthly View Dashboard →
Silage
Current Cost
[See Details]

Agri Market Report – September 2025

September opens with steadier tones but thinner margins. Beef prices have eased from summer highs as more cattle come forward, milk returns remain solid though bonuses are narrowing, and fieldwork is catching up where weather allowed. Fodder planning stays front-of-mind heading into autumn.

Beef Sector: Softer but Orderly as Numbers Lift

Base steer prices are now €7.00–7.20/kg, heifers €7.05–7.25/kg, with U-grade bulls generally €7.30–7.40/kg. This is a modest pullback from July’s peaks, with most 5–10c/kg trims on heavier or plainer stock.

Throughput has risen as delayed spring finishers and grass cattle flow in greater numbers. Factories are managing supplies; R/U cows are mostly around €7.00/kg, while O/P cows fluctuate €6.40–6.90/kg. Export demand is supportive, but UK/EU wholesale trends and currency shifts are key watchpoints.

Dairy Market: Good All-In, Gentle Trims Likely

Co-ops are signalling 51–53 c/L all-in for September milk, compared with 52–54 c/L in July–August. Bases hold near 49–50 c/L, but bonuses are tightening as powder and butter markets soften.

Margins remain positive (~36 c/L average cost), though feed, fertiliser, and energy prices continue to bite. Bases are expected to hold into October, with less scope for bonuses.

Grass & Silage: Catch-Up Where Dry, Patchy Where Wet

Second cuts finished where late-August dry spells allowed; elsewhere, quality and regrowth are uneven. In wetter areas, bulk yields are lighter than planned. Build winter fodder budgets on average regrowth and plan buffers if September turns wet again.

Outlook: September–October 2025

  • Beef: Markets trending toward €7.00–7.20/kg live-equivalent; short-kill weeks may lift closer to €7.30, while heavier supplies could push some lots into the high-€6s.
  • Dairy: All-in returns 51–53 c/L for September, with risk of a further 1c/L easing in October if demand weakens.
  • Grass/Silage: Patchy regrowth means fodder planning should remain cautious.
  • Costs: Inputs (fertiliser, feed, diesel) remain stubbornly high; cost control is still critical.

Advice: Market cattle promptly when fit, focus on maximising milk solids, and prepare fodder reserves early. Keep a close eye on UK/EU demand signals and be ready to adjust quickly to weather or market shocks.

Beef Price Forecast & Reality Check

Conversion & assumptions
%

If both units are set explicitly, conversion is ignored.

Tight Supply 30%
Forecast range
€7.50 – €7.70 (Live €/kg)
Tight kill numbers, grass support, firm EU demand.
Base Case 50%
Forecast range
€7.10 – €7.30 (Live €/kg)
Seasonal throughput lifts slightly; steady orders.
Loose Supply 20%
Forecast range
€6.90 – €7.10 (Live €/kg)
Stronger cattle flow; factories push back.
Forecast confidence band: ± €0.15/kg
Reality Check

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